Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
IND
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |