Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 3
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 0
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAN
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 4
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |