Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 1
ATM
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRÊ
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 3
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 2
BOT
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |