Flamengo vs Náutico analysis

Flamengo Náutico
86 ELO 77
9.3% Tilt -2.4%
127º General ELO ranking 1283º
Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
66.3%
Flamengo
19.9%
Draw
13.8%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
Náutico
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+13%
+1%
Náutico

ELO progression

Flamengo
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2008
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
38%
27%
35%
86 80 6 0
22 Jun. 2008
IFC
Ipatinga FC
1 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
21%
26%
54%
85 66 19 +1
14 Jun. 2008
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 4
São Paulo
SAO
45%
26%
29%
86 88 2 -1
07 Jun. 2008
FLA
Flamengo
5 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
57%
22%
20%
85 81 4 +1
01 Jun. 2008
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
51%
25%
25%
85 85 0 0

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2008
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
63%
21%
16%
78 84 6 0
22 Jun. 2008
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
49%
24%
27%
78 81 3 0
14 Jun. 2008
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
41%
24%
35%
78 83 5 0
07 Jun. 2008
IFC
Ipatinga FC
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
33%
27%
40%
78 66 12 0
01 Jun. 2008
NAU
Náutico
3 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
39%
25%
37%
77 84 7 +1