Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
FLA
3 - 1
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 2
FFL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 5
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |