Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 3
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 0
FER
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
5 - 0
TRE
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1982 |
NAU
2 - 3
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |