Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
FLA
3 - 0
XVD
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 0
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
FLA
39%
29%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1978 |
FLA
3 - 1
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1978 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
NAU
1 - 0
MOT
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAU
19%
27%
54%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
NAU
2 - 3
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NAU
2 - 2
PIA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | -1 |