Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ARN
0 - 3
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
CEA
1 - 1
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VAS
2 - 2
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATM
3 - 0
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
SER
0 - 1
FLA
29%
31%
40%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
NAU
0 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
NAU
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
COM
1 - 2
NAU
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
NAU
2 - 1
VAS
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
DES
1 - 0
NAU
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |