Flamengo vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 2
BOT
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FRI
3 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 2
AME
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
FLA
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
MAD
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAD
2 - 1
FLU
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
3 - 1
MAD
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAD
1 - 0
FRI
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MAD
0 - 3
AME
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |