Flamengo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 2
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 4
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
VAS
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |