Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
FLA
19%
22%
60%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
CUI
3 - 0
FLA
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
FLA
38%
24%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |