Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis

Flamengo Grêmio
90 ELO 87
8.8% Tilt 6.4%
127º General ELO ranking 151º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Flamengo
20.8%
Draw
15.3%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
Grêmio
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+15%
-5%
Grêmio

Points and table prediction

Flamengo
Their league position
Grêmio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
17º
68
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palmeiras
70
70
100%
Grêmio
68
68
100%
Atl. Mineiro
66
66
0%
Flamengo
66
66
0%
Botafogo
64
64
100%
RB Bragantino
62
62
100%
Athletico Paranaense
56
56
0%
Fluminense
56
56
0%
Internacional
55
55
100%
São Paulo
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Fortaleza EC
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Cuiabá
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Corinthians
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Cruzeiro
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Vasco da Gama
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Bahía
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Santos FC
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Goiás EC
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Coritiba
19º
30
30
19º
100%
América Mineiro
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flamengo
Grêmio
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
100% 100%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Flamengo
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Racing Club
RAC
69%
18%
13%
90 85 5 0
06 Jun. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 4
Flamengo
FLA
16%
22%
63%
90 77 13 0
02 Jun. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
50%
24%
26%
90 90 0 0
27 May. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
74%
16%
9%
90 81 9 0
25 May. 2023
NUB
Ñublense
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
10%
19%
71%
90 69 21 0

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
44%
25%
31%
87 89 2 0
01 Jun. 2023
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
29%
27%
44%
87 81 6 0
27 May. 2023
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
52%
25%
23%
87 88 1 0
21 May. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 1
Internacional
SCI
48%
26%
26%
86 88 2 +1
18 May. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
66%
20%
14%
86 81 5 0