Copa Libertadores Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
FLA
15%
24%
62%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 2
FLA
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
FLA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 4
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEA
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |