Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 5
FLA
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
AVA
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GOD
0 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |