Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 4
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAC
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BOA
87%
11%
2%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
7%
17%
77%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
YPI
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |