Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
COR
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 2
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
FFL
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 1
FLA
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRI
70%
21%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
55%
26%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
GRE
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |