Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
COT
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAH
59%
25%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COR
44%
29%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRI
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |