Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOI
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATM
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |