Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ATM
0 - 3
FLA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATP
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
5 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 0
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |