Carioca 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 47 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
BOA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 3
FLA
5%
16%
79%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 4
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
LIG
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 0
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |