Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
74%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
NUB
1 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
49%
23%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 3
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
FLU
16%
22%
63%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
27%
26%
48%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
49%
23%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
CUI
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |