Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAN
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 0
RES
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRI
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AME
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |