Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
FLU
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 1
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |