Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
FLU
11%
18%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
FLU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |