Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAB
0 - 2
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 3
FLA
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
PPE
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
SCI
3 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 0
CAB
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRZ
5 - 2
FLU
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |