Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 4
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
CAB
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
AME
1 - 4
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
FRI
86%
10%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLU
12%
19%
69%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 2
VAS
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLU
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ARN
2 - 0
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
OLA
87%
10%
4%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |