Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FLA
2 - 0
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
POR
0 - 2
FLA
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
FLA
1 - 2
COR
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLU
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
GOI
3 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 4
BAH
50%
29%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |