Flamengo vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
5 - 0
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
27%
29%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 2
EME
33%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |