Flamengo vs Bahía analysis

Flamengo Bahía
90 ELO 83
-0.1% Tilt 4.9%
127º General ELO ranking 131º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
71.8%
Flamengo
18.1%
Draw
10%
Bahía

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10%
Win probability
Bahía
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+15%
-1%
Bahía

Points and table prediction

Flamengo
Their league position
Bahía
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
17º
44
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palmeiras
70
70
100%
Grêmio
68
68
100%
Atl. Mineiro
66
66
0%
Flamengo
66
66
0%
Botafogo
64
64
100%
RB Bragantino
62
62
100%
Athletico Paranaense
56
56
0%
Fluminense
56
56
0%
Internacional
55
55
100%
São Paulo
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Fortaleza EC
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Cuiabá
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Corinthians
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Cruzeiro
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Vasco da Gama
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Bahía
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Santos FC
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Goiás EC
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Coritiba
19º
30
30
19º
100%
América Mineiro
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flamengo
Bahía
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
100% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Flamengo
Bahía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
44%
25%
32%
90 90 0 0
21 Sep. 2023
GOI
Goiás EC
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
22%
24%
54%
90 84 6 0
17 Sep. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
48%
25%
27%
90 90 0 0
14 Sep. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
54%
24%
22%
90 89 1 0
03 Sep. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
38%
25%
37%
90 89 1 0

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2023
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
53%
24%
23%
83 83 0 0
15 Sep. 2023
COT
Coritiba
2 - 4
Bahía
BAH
39%
28%
33%
83 79 4 0
03 Sep. 2023
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
59%
22%
19%
83 79 4 0
27 Aug. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Bahía
BAH
68%
20%
12%
83 89 6 0
20 Aug. 2023
BAH
Bahía
4 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
36%
25%
40%
82 86 4 +1