Flamengo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
FLA
4 - 1
CAM
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 2
DUQ
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
AME
2 - 5
DUQ
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
GOY
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 3
DUQ
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |