Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
AMF
73%
17%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |