Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 9-1
Flamengo vs Capelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.3%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
FLU
0 - 5
FLA
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1989 |
FLA
0 - 0
GOI
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |