Flamengo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
COT
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |