Flamengo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
FLA
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 1
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
COT
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
4 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |