Flamengo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 2
COT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |