Flamengo vs Coritiba analysis

Flamengo Coritiba
85 ELO 79
1.9% Tilt 7.1%
127º General ELO ranking 250º
Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
59%
Flamengo
22.7%
Draw
18.4%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
Coritiba
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+17%
+7%
Coritiba

ELO progression

Flamengo
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
57%
24%
20%
84 81 3 0
06 Sep. 2009
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
36%
26%
38%
84 79 5 0
29 Aug. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 0
Santo André
SAN
65%
20%
15%
84 75 9 0
27 Aug. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
54%
24%
22%
84 81 3 0
23 Aug. 2009
AVA
Avaí
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
31%
26%
43%
85 77 8 -1

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2009
COT
Coritiba
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
31%
27%
42%
79 86 7 0
06 Sep. 2009
GOI
Goiás EC
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
64%
20%
16%
79 83 4 0
29 Aug. 2009
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
Avaí
AVA
45%
27%
28%
78 78 0 +1
26 Aug. 2009
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
46%
26%
28%
78 77 1 0
22 Aug. 2009
SAN
Santo André
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
40%
27%
34%
78 75 3 0