Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
AMF
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHA
22%
27%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
JEC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |