Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis

Flamengo Chapecoense
80 ELO 79
0.4% Tilt -6.1%
127º General ELO ranking 577º
Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
53%
Flamengo
25.3%
Draw
21.7%
Chapecoense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.7%
Win probability
Chapecoense
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+17%
+8%
Chapecoense

ELO progression

Flamengo
Chapecoense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
55%
24%
21%
80 84 4 0
19 May. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
67%
20%
13%
80 68 12 0
14 May. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
59%
23%
18%
80 75 5 0
05 May. 2016
FOR
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
28%
26%
46%
80 67 13 0
24 Apr. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
46%
27%
28%
81 80 1 -1

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
3 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
51%
26%
23%
79 76 3 0
19 May. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 0
Paraná
PAR
64%
21%
14%
78 65 13 +1
15 May. 2016
SCI
Internacional
0 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
65%
21%
14%
78 83 5 0
12 May. 2016
PAR
Paraná
2 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
22%
27%
52%
78 65 13 0
08 May. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
60%
23%
17%
78 70 8 0