Flamengo vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
FLA
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
57%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |