Carioca 1 Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Flamengo vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 3
CAB
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAN
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 3
CAB
85%
12%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 0
CAB
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAB
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |