Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
23%
24%
52%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
FLA
29%
24%
47%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FLA
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
FLA
6%
17%
77%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
85%
12%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAM
88%
9%
2%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 0
BOT
6%
20%
74%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |