Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
FLA
2%
12%
86%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 3
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 3
BOT
12%
22%
66%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 3
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |