Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATP
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
6 - 1
GOI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLA
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ATM
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
BOT
18%
28%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |