Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 2
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
FLA
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 0
MAD
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
CAB
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
BOT
11%
24%
65%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | -1 |