Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
VOL
1 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
VAS
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 1
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLU
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 2
RES
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |