Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 3
FLA
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAH
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
PPE
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |