Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
0 - 4
FLA
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
NOV
82%
14%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
RES
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
0 - 4
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |