Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 0
MES
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FLA
3 - 1
AME
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
FLA
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
FLA
4 - 2
RES
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
CIE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
4 - 1
DUQ
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 0
VOL
87%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
AME
90%
8%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 3
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |