Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 1
COT
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 6
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
0 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |