Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
OLA
1 - 0
FLA
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAN
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
FLA
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRB
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 0
BOT
11%
16%
73%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BOT
3 - 1
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
FRI
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLU
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |