Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
FLA
0 - 1
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
FFL
2 - 1
FLA
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 4
VIT
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAY
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |