Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
FLA
5 - 2
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
VIT
5 - 0
FLA
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1998 |
GAM
2 - 4
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1998 |
FLA
4 - 0
OPE
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
OPE
0 - 0
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
BOT
4 - 0
SAO
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
9%
18%
72%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
BOT
3 - 3
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |